Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

In the real world
Post Reply
User avatar
Nutso
2 Star Admiral
2 Star Admiral
Posts: 9614
Joined: Tue Apr 22, 2008 9:58 pm

Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

Post by Nutso »

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53409521
The world is ill-prepared for the global crash in children being born which is set to have a "jaw-dropping" impact on societies, say researchers.

Falling fertility rates mean nearly every country could have shrinking populations by the end of the century.

And 23 nations - including Spain and Japan - are expected to see their populations halve by 2100.

Countries will also age dramatically, with as many people turning 80 as there are being born.
What is going on?

The fertility rate - the average number of children a woman gives birth to - is falling.

If the number falls below approximately 2.1, then the size of the population starts to fall.

In 1950, women were having an average of 4.7 children in their lifetime.

Researchers at the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation showed the global fertility rate nearly halved to 2.4 in 2017 - and their study, published in the Lancet, projects it will fall below 1.7 by 2100.

As a result, the researchers expect the number of people on the planet to peak at 9.7 billion around 2064, before falling down to 8.8 billion by the end of the century.

"That's a pretty big thing; most of the world is transitioning into natural population decline," researcher Prof Christopher Murray told the BBC.

"I think it's incredibly hard to think this through and recognise how big a thing this is; it's extraordinary, we'll have to reorganise societies."
"Bible, Wrath of Khan, what's the difference?"
Stan - South Park
User avatar
McAvoy
Rear Admiral
Rear Admiral
Posts: 6225
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2008 1:39 am
Location: East Windsor, NJ

Re: Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

Post by McAvoy »

I have been hearing about this lately. Alot of articles have been written about countries like Italy and Japan. Hell people talk about Japan due to their own culture enabling it.
"Don't underestimate the power of technobabble: the Federation can win anything with the sheer force of bullshit"
Vic
Lieutenant Commander
Lieutenant Commander
Posts: 1178
Joined: Thu May 28, 2009 12:20 pm
Location: Springfield MO

Re: Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

Post by Vic »

Is this social engineering or is there a heretofore unknown natural mechanism at work?
God is great, beer is good, and people are crazy.
.................................................Billy Currington
RK_Striker_JK_5
3 Star Admiral
3 Star Admiral
Posts: 12986
Joined: Wed Jul 25, 2007 5:27 am
Commendations: The Daystrom Award, Cochrane Medal of Excellence
Location: New Hampshire
Contact:

Re: Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

Post by RK_Striker_JK_5 »

McAvoy wrote: Wed Jul 15, 2020 11:56 pm I have been hearing about this lately. Alot of articles have been written about countries like Italy and Japan. Hell people talk about Japan due to their own culture enabling it.
Same. Japan's gonna go through a serious population crash, from what I've seen.

I'm kinda contributing a bit, actually. I'm not having kids.
User avatar
McAvoy
Rear Admiral
Rear Admiral
Posts: 6225
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2008 1:39 am
Location: East Windsor, NJ

Re: Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

Post by McAvoy »

Vic wrote: Thu Jul 16, 2020 6:42 am Is this social engineering or is there a heretofore unknown natural mechanism at work?
With Japanese it's their culture they have developed where they sort of made being anti social being their culture. That's the best way of explaining.

I did hear about the Italians having issues too. Mainly not having kids because they can't afford to seems to be the reason. Which maybe the reasons globally.

Kinda odd, richer the country the less likely to have kids. Poorer the country more likely to have more kids.
"Don't underestimate the power of technobabble: the Federation can win anything with the sheer force of bullshit"
Post Reply